this post was submitted on 09 Jul 2024
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That's all folks... (lemmy.world)
submitted 2 months ago by return2ozma@lemmy.world to c/whitepeopletwitter@sh.itjust.works
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source: https://x.com/jules_su/status/1810714324366709135

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[–] mozz@mbin.grits.dev 10 points 2 months ago* (last edited 2 months ago) (2 children)

Holy shit! That’s awesome.

So when you poll all registered voters, not attempting to correct for likeliness to vote which favors Biden, it’s within 3 percentage points? Dude that’s really good news. Also it looks like it barely dropped after the debate. This is all zoomed in to like 1% being this big jump, so yeah it ticked down by 2 points but whatever. IDK, polling methodology is kind of shit anyway, and they needed to include the 3rd party candidates which for some weird reason seems like it would shift it back to Trump. You can’t really tell much from this.

But yeah it’s really good news that it’s still basically within the range of statistical noise. You gotta tell the media, they’ve been super scared about what the debate meant for Biden’s chances, and I’m sure they’ll be really glad to be able to tell everyone that the voters are smarter than they were giving them credit for and were already aware that Biden is old.

I was gonna say something snarky about this chart, too, but I think I’m just gonna let it speak for itself:

[–] ShellMonkey@lemmy.socdojo.com 3 points 2 months ago

There have been 2% swings in either direction for no notable reason at all. The end result is all this hand wringing over the debate is likely to be erased in the next month depending on the phase of the moon when they ask again.