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“Vibe shift”: Young Texas voters, motivated by Kamala Harris, lock into the presidential election
(www.texastribune.org)
this post was submitted on 12 Aug 2024
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I'll say it again Harris needs to really campaign harder in Texas. If she beats Bidens last vote total (in Texas) by a million votes I think she'll take the state and that's basically a guarantee to win the whole thing. I think state leadership is also overconfident in our "leans red" status and they aren't trying nearly as hard as other states to suppress votes. If the gap gets close but Trump still wins Texas I guarantee they'll make the next four years about stomping out blue opposition.
Making the gop spend resources to defend Texas is a win even if you lose the state.
I think it is possible both Texas and Florida are actually in play come the election. Conventional wisdom focuses on the battleground states, but conventional wisdom would have picked Shapiro over Walz and we see how that went. I think you are right, and I hope the Harris campaign is bold and ambitious here.
Now bear in mind - actually flipping Texas sounds like an almost guaranteed constitutional crisis. But that's a problem for the future.
We Floridians voted for Obama twice and we're driving youth and women to the polling booths with abortion and weed on the ballot.
May you have an election this year as lovely as ours was last year
-your sister former swing state of Ohio
I read that North Carolina has gone from leans red to toss-up. We're making progress!
Given the above comments about the possible/likely constitutional crisis, it would be better to win those states but not rely on winning them to take the race. Best to assume that they are going to try pulling out all of the stops they can to steal this election and Florida and Texas are two states that are most likely to lean into that.
So she should try to win them but not at the expense of anywhere else.
If she gets only 630,000 more votes than Biden, she will have beaten Trump's votes in 2020. That's less than 5% of the registered voters in 2020.
Polls open Oct 21-Nov 1 and then one final day on Nov 5. If you vote early, there wont be a line! Polls will be open at least 9 hours the first week and at least 12 hours the second week and final day of voting. Check voter registration status, polling locations, hours, Election Dates, and more at
https://www.votetexas.gov/