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The race was 60/40 Trump and now it's 50/50. It won't get to more than 60/40 Harris ever. Either candidate winning is an extremely realistic scenario.
Because the US has a fucked up system where a small state vote is worth more than a vote from a populous state.
It should be a simple popular vote and that's it. Kill the electoral college and hopefully the Overton window will go left when no Republican president is elected for a few cycles.
I think the Dems know that, but we need a real majority and we haven't had that since... Clinton? Obama had blue dog democrats and Biden had his two senators holding him up. We also are more willing to than ever to go with simple majority, too, which helps.
It would really turn the tide though, no way Dems aren't considering it if we can get enough votes.
National Popular Vote Interstate Compact