who would have thought that nothing happens if we do nothing...
this post was submitted on 19 Nov 2024
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Oh look, the consequences of our inaction
I made these non binding, voluntary promises before AI 🥺
10-16 million voters who didn’t feel it was necessary to stop a fascist?
The real value is, …around 7-8 degrees C
Everyone in climate research knows it.
Current models point towards a max ~6°C anomaly for the pessimistic (and, imo, most probable) scenarios where we continue acting as we are now.
Tell that to Michael Mann, perhaps one of the most distinguished climate scientists:
“Actually, the warming of the planet is very much in line with early climate model predictions. Some impacts, such as ice sheet melt and sea level rise, and the slowdown of the ocean ‘conveyor belt’ are exceeding those predictions.” Current policies alone likely keep warming below 3°C (5.4°F), nowhere near the “worst-case” scenarios.
https://www.aps.org/apsnews/2023/09/climate-doomism-disregards-science
These models always assume that direct carbon capture technologies will extract ridiculous amounts of the CO2 out of the atmosphere.
Also 3C will be devastating as is though. That's not including biodiversity loss, ocean acidification, and rising sea levels.
Did you read the article?
Current models don't assume carbon capture technologies to remove CO2 from the atmosphere, they assume interactions with the oceans to remove CO2 from the atmosphere.
And yes, 3C will be devastating, but not doing anything will be more devastating, that's also what the article says. If all lower goals are out of reach we should still aim for 3C because 3C is a lot better than 4C. Saying a certain temperature is devastating is not a useful comment in a scenario where that is the only good option left.
We fucked up, now we must act based on the current situation.
See you in hell 'God bless this house'.