this post was submitted on 03 May 2025
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I am stoked to see Dutton lose his seat, but I can’t help but see this as a massive loss for australia. An effective opposition is critical for democracy. And it appears like the greens have been totally wiped out too.
Am also fairly frustrated by the analysis so far. Coulda seen this coming: bloke with the personality of a rock and policies from the mirror universe fails to win voter confidence. Who coulda seen that coming? Oh wait, anyone with half a brain!
Imo it's not a loss for Australia when the only opposition is batshit insane and dangerous. They needed a harsh slap on the face. They need to be told in no uncertain terms that this Trump-lite bullshit is NOT welcome, it is not to be entertained even in a "but muh both sides!" debate. The Libs entirely deserve this bollocking.
I do really hope they can become an effective opposition again (and the greens too). But it'll require some big changes. If the libs do another moronic pivot even further right like they did after the last election and the loss at state level in Vic, then seriously, that's not even remotely Labor or the Australian public's fault. I'd love to see the libs die and some alternative parties come up instead.
Oh they needed to be squashed like this. But while they sort themselves out or we wait for a new party to emerge (and it's unlikely that one will that's big enough to be taken seriously), there's nobody to properly hold the government to account. That's not good for Australia.
It's a massive gain for Australia. When they lost their moderate seats to the Teals, the party room became disproportionately alt-right despite existing in a voting system that demands moderates.
The cooker influence told them that Trumpism was the way forward and to win government again, when that only worked by disenfranchising voters. When everyone votes, a political culture that thrives on the extreme works the opposite.
American politicians need to go overboard to compete for attention just to get people to turn up and vote based on anger and fear, the people in the middle of the spectrum get disenfranchised more as both two-party single vote options stretch further from them to garner good or bad attention. This results in no vote, which is nowhere near as bad as a vote transferring to the opposition.
In a mandatory/preference country, hyperbole and extremism costs you the vote and because they have to vote still, your lost vote goes to the opposition and is a net change of -2 votes. 1 less vote + 1 opposition gained vote.
Peter Dutton was the leader amongst the right wing faction of the party when they had the moderate Liberal members, when Turnbull lost the leadership it was due to an internal power struggle from the right wing of the party room. At the time Morrison won because he was perceived to be both a moderate and somewhat conservative, when the room included the former Teal seat moderates they kept the leadership from going more fringe with Dutton.
Without the moderate members that lost to the Teals, the right wing of the Liberal Party had the majority of the party room and they put their leader in charge despite what happened in American being counter and unrepeatable to our much better voting system.
Now that the Liberal party has gotten a proper swift kick up the bum for letting themselves shift too far from center, with the leader changed in the process, if they have any sense they will realise how much they got wrong or they'll never win another election.
They have no choice now but to level and rebuilt their party, or the Commonwealth will become like Victoria and WA, having no second party option while the rusted on Liberal voters cost everyone the opportunity of a new second party emerging.
There’s a possibility that they’re going to go even more right and more Trump like in the future, that would surely spell the end of the party.
Yeah that’s my concern too
I agree. An effective opposition is incredibly important, lest the governing party come to believe they have carte blanche to do whatever the fuck they want, assuming the public is completely beholden to them.
don't worry, the herald sun and sky radio/tv are still massive cunts and will tear apart and lie about everything Labor does
The teals might be that check now