this post was submitted on 15 Jul 2024
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[–] Rapidcreek@lemmy.world 6 points 1 month ago (2 children)

The case may be that no news development can dramatically change the race’s trajectory because the partisan bases for the two candidates are broad and firm, and the “double haters” in the middle will continue to double their hate.

If the contours of the race remained fixed, its outcome may hinge upon the quality of their two parties’ get-out-the-vote operations

[–] JustZ@lemmy.world 2 points 1 month ago (1 children)

Agree with you completely on these points.

The undecided voter is a myth, I've never met one.

[–] Rapidcreek@lemmy.world 1 points 1 month ago* (last edited 1 month ago) (1 children)

It's from the article which nobody seemed to read. I also happen to believe it's true.

[–] JustZ@lemmy.world 0 points 1 month ago (1 children)

Was wondering why you had it in quotes! Ha.

The real truth is in the comments.

[–] Rapidcreek@lemmy.world 0 points 1 month ago (1 children)

I indented them. In any case,the polls are not changing. Still close with slight margin inside the error rate for Trump. I too believe this will be a get out the vote election.

[–] dragontamer@lemmy.world 3 points 1 month ago* (last edited 1 month ago) (1 children)

Trump getting shot at has helped his side's "get out to vote" equation though.

That's what scares me. They're invigorated by recent events. I don't think they're any larger than before, but they're definitely more motivated now.

[–] Rapidcreek@lemmy.world 0 points 1 month ago (1 children)

True, but three months is a lifetime in US politics. Add to that,Biden has built out local offices to handle GOTV. Trump hasn't

[–] knightly@pawb.social 3 points 1 month ago (1 children)

A "lifetime" sounds like plenty of time to make Biden compete in some primary debates

[–] Rapidcreek@lemmy.world -1 points 1 month ago (2 children)

There's only one more debate in September. He'll do fine.

[–] knightly@pawb.social 2 points 1 month ago (1 children)

I remember when Hillary's campaign was "doing fine" too.

The Democrats can't afford to take the risk of trying to play it safe, not after the decade we've had. They need a sure thing, and that means they need to hold a primary.

[–] Rapidcreek@lemmy.world -2 points 1 month ago (1 children)

There is no sure thing. There have already been primaries

[–] knightly@pawb.social 2 points 1 month ago

No there haven't. The one guy who tried to primary Biden got run out of the party entirely.

[–] dragontamer@lemmy.world 1 points 1 month ago* (last edited 1 month ago)

JD Vance means Trump + Republicans are doubling-down on extremism, anti-Ukraine feelings and more.

We have a serious shot at this. Everyone stay focused, we can get through this together. The overplay of the Republicans will be on display in the coming month. But Democrats absolutely need rise to this challenge for us to stand a chance.