this post was submitted on 20 Jun 2024
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[–] givesomefucks@lemmy.world -1 points 4 months ago (1 children)

https://elections2024.thehill.com/national/biden-trump-rfk-general/

RFK makes the race much closer, if he's going down in flames, that's good for Biden.

You can’t just say he’ll cost Biden 0.1% in Michigan without also considering how much he would affect trump

I didn't, I said it doesn't take much in one of the handful of states where votes matter. Because someone was saying they didn't understand how RFK could effect the race.

Everything is hypothetical until the election. But if there's only Biden and trump on people's ballots, it's likely to help Biden more than trump. This isn't just some idea I came up with.

https://www.usatoday.com/story/news/politics/elections/2024/05/30/biden-leads-trump-marist-poll-election/73906380007/

Unless this is one of those things where you're gonna say polls aren't real, if that's the case this isn't gonna be productive

[–] pleasejustdie@lemmy.world 1 points 4 months ago* (last edited 4 months ago) (1 children)

From your own usa today article:

according to the poll of 1,261 adults surveyed May 21 through May 23. It found third-party candidates Cornel West and Jill Stein — not Robert F. Kennedy Jr. — are making the difference, pulling support away from Biden.

Emphasis added by me. And I agree, with the article, other 3rd party candidates are likely to pull more from Biden than Trump, but also in agreement with your article, not RFK Jr. And it goes back to people pushing RFK Jr as a threat to Biden, when in reality he's not at all a threat to Biden. Its FUD being pushed by bad actors and people are falling for it and is distracting people from the real threats to Biden, which is Cornel West and Jill Stein.

[–] givesomefucks@lemmy.world -1 points 4 months ago

Like I said it's all hypothetical until the election.

My whole point was something that's negligible on a national level, can still change the election in the few states that will decide the election.

But Trump voters are trump voters because they want trump. Biden voters are Biden voters... Because they don't want trump.

The less options on a ballot the more "not trump" translates to "Biden"