this post was submitted on 28 Oct 2024
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Almost as good as Lichtman's keys!

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[–] jordanlund@lemmy.world 70 points 3 weeks ago (3 children)

https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Kids_Pick_the_President

"Since 1988, Kids Pick the President has accurately predicted the winner of each election with the exceptions of the 2004 and 2016 presidential elections."

[–] EleventhHour@lemmy.world 96 points 3 weeks ago (1 children)

Yeah, those two are not good ones to get wrong.

[–] Tolookah@discuss.tchncs.de 38 points 3 weeks ago (1 children)

If it was 2000 and 2016 I'd be more concerned

[–] EleventhHour@lemmy.world 16 points 3 weeks ago

Maybe a little, but not much

[–] ccunning@lemmy.world 33 points 3 weeks ago (2 children)

In 2016 the kids favored Clinton by 17 points (36% Trump to 53% Clinton)

[–] AmidFuror@fedia.io 41 points 3 weeks ago (1 children)

Those kids should have voted 3rd party instead of picking one of those two fascists.

/s

[–] ccunning@lemmy.world 12 points 3 weeks ago (1 children)
[–] AmidFuror@fedia.io 6 points 3 weeks ago

Those kids are fascist too. They would have needed to write in Karl Marx or Che Gueverra for us to know for sure.

[–] usernamesAreTricky@lemmy.ml 17 points 3 weeks ago* (last edited 3 weeks ago)

They includes 3rd parties in 2016, but did not in 2020 and 2024, hence the different margins. And the 3rd party they included was of the Republican spoiler type rather than the Democratic spoiler type

They had way higher third party votes in their poll than actually occured - and the third party votes in 2016 were higher than usual (helping trump narrowly win in 2016)

[–] NegativeInf@lemmy.world 11 points 3 weeks ago

Well, that's scary.