this post was submitted on 06 Sep 2024
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Not even! They only have to make a peace deal with Ukraine, which restores Ukraines borders. Reparations, trials and so forth would be nice, but the war is extremely expensive for Ukraine as well. So they probably agree to letting Russia go off light, if that ends the war quickly.
Putin is not getting off that easy. Ya boiโs going down one way or another. At the moment it appears to be economic servitude to China.
His economy will crash, russia is running a 100% wartime economy that will be grinding to a halt as soon as no new material is needed. Weirdo Putin done fuck up
Even that peace deal, would be a massive loss for Putin. Before the full scale invasion he controlled Crimea and large parts of Donetzk and Luhansk. He would loose that. Further more he lost a lot of men in the fighting. According to Ukraine it is over half a million casulties already. Lots of Russians also left the country to avoid fighting. That is not to mention the losses of huge parts of the old Soviet stockpiles. Then he lost most of the national wealth fund. In terms of natural gas exports the EU has most of those covered without Russian gas already. Those are long term contracts, so Russia will only be able to take back part of what they lost. All of that in a shrinking market thanks to new policy within the EU to try to save gas. Cutting military spending, means a lot of Russians loose well paying jobs, which is going to tank the economy.
In other words, that peace deal would be a massive strategic loss. It might not be fair, but it would save Ukranian lifes and might very well save more money in damages, then Russia can pay in reparations.