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I think the numbers of those two groups are significantly different. There are a number of moderate Republicans who will vote for Biden but wouldn't vote for someone like Sanders or AOC.
There are no moderate Republicans. Anyone who calls themselves a Republican in 2024 is a fascist, whether intentionally or not makes no practical difference. They will never ever vote for a Democrat. Calling them reachable voters is so hilariously out of touch that it makes me wonder where you've been the last 8 years.
I know quite a number of them. My company is overall pretty conservative, with lots of ex military. Many folks are lifelong Republicans but have adamantly said they won't vote for Trump.
I hope you're right about that but I'll be legitimately shocked if that turns out to be true to any significant degree.
There aren’t many, but I can name at least a few like Tim Miller, Adam Kitzinger, Geoff Duncan, and Sarah Longwell.
Enough to make a big swing politically? Maybe not. But they are out there.
Biden being replaced by a progressive like AOC or Sanders isn't even remotely likely though, which is why I didn't mention all of the people who won't vote if they're not motivated to who'd come out for someone like AOC/Sanders/Warren/etc. And replace him with a "moderate" who didn't support Israel, and you'd get a lot more votes from people who are alienated by that issue.
Like who are you thinking?