I got mad at this last time I saw Nate Bronze assign percentages to the 2024 US election.
Like, my dude, what the fuck does that mean? Is the election result a random variable? What is its PDF? What maths could you have possibly done to arrive at a crisp [0, 1] probability value?
How did you go from "predict the future", an obviously wildly fuzzy and inaccurate vibes check, to a concrete real number??
I quite often pondered how cool it'd have been to be a computer scientist like 50-70 years ago, you know, one of the pioneers, people on whose shoulders the entire tech sector rests now.
Think about all the advantages! Maybe I'd get to talk to Turing! Maybe I'd invent a foundational algorithm that would be in textbooks forever! Maybe I would've fucking died before this absolute blight on our domain happened!