OldWoodFrame

joined 1 year ago
[–] OldWoodFrame@lemm.ee 4 points 1 day ago

I think it will, but people won't think it did. Harris was dropping slightly in the polls, Polymarket odds were up to 52/46 Trump. The betting markets being the most responsive item to check, it's currently 50/49 Trump, back to tied. I think polls will look similar, back to essentially tied, but that's where things were a couple weeks ago so it might just erase the mini slump from everyone's mind.

[–] OldWoodFrame@lemm.ee 6 points 1 day ago

I liked her hit single Chalupitating.

[–] OldWoodFrame@lemm.ee 6 points 1 day ago

Feels like it's more xenophobic. Obviously one assumes many of the referenced people are brown, but they are assumed poor too and we aren't saying it's classist. The thing that unites all of the people implicated in the claim is that they are foreigners.

[–] OldWoodFrame@lemm.ee 0 points 1 day ago

This article is written monthly and read exclusively by people who agree with it. Not sure the purpose of it.

[–] OldWoodFrame@lemm.ee 5 points 1 day ago

The CEO was just conspicuously spotted with one of these a couple weeks ago, looks like it was a marketing scheme as we suspected.

[–] OldWoodFrame@lemm.ee 1 points 1 day ago

I'm just talking about the general concept of a wealthy benefactor being the reason X person a commenter doesn't like does anything or has any success. It's a mental crutch because people can't fathom large swaths of Americans who just disagree with them, they need it to be a conspiracy for some reason.

[–] OldWoodFrame@lemm.ee 8 points 2 days ago* (last edited 2 days ago) (3 children)

This feels like the Leftist version of a George Soros conspiracy. Why can the answer not be that JD Vance himself thinks the election was stolen? Maybe JD Vance himself is weird?

[–] OldWoodFrame@lemm.ee 2 points 2 days ago

It's raising a minimum wage.

[–] OldWoodFrame@lemm.ee 1 points 2 days ago

He's a paid something or other for them, why?

[–] OldWoodFrame@lemm.ee 21 points 2 days ago

So annoying that Democrats propose something, the Republican majority opposes and entirely quashes it, and the "take" is that we should blame Democrats for not getting it done.

[–] OldWoodFrame@lemm.ee 8 points 2 days ago (1 children)

Republicans control the House and even if they didn't, there is nothing close to a majority vote of the House that want to impeach members of SCOTUS.

[–] OldWoodFrame@lemm.ee 13 points 2 days ago

It's a chance of winning, not a poll, so 64% is high but not insane. Silver is serious and it's a decent model. Knowing the model there's a pretty good chance this is a high point for Trump but it's not like he's pulling this out of nowhere, he has had similar models every election cycle since like 2008.

If it's overstaying Trump it's because his model is interpreting the data incorrectly because of the weirdness of this election cycle. I personally think that is likely the case here.

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