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So far
IDF soldiers shot a journalist
Israeli tank fires at towns
Recent rumors suggest a recent Israeli drone struck on a car injuring three
The ceasefire is going great. Expecting reporting on Hezbollah being the party responsible for violating the ceasefire soon if they retaliate.
I knew Israel wasn't going to abide by the ceasefire as soon as I read the terms. Hezbollah now retreated, Israel has 2 months to basically destroy and depopulate South Lebanon, and when the 60 days are up they'll find some reason to stay. And by then Trump will be inaugurated, so there's not even going to be any pretense of pressure from the US to stick to the ceasefire at that stage.
I don't really get why Hezbollah agreed to this, presumably they should know better?
The timing is truly mysterious. Trump has not yet taken office, Iran still has a promised attack waiting, and suddenly Hezbollah accepts a ceasefire decoupled from a ceasefire in Gaza. Which was their red line.
I would consider three options of what happened behind the scenes (or a mix of all three)
Whichever it is, while the ceasefire has only officially been accepted by Lebanon and not Hezbollah, as long as they abide by it while Israel remains in full control the situation is stuck in a weird limbo.
As usual Israel will keep firing and bombing and at one point someone will retaliate, which will be the point at which history starts according to western narratives.
Ah, didn't know this was only agreed to by Lebanon, not Hezbollah. That's weird, Lebanon wasn't even involved as an entity (besides getting bombed by Israel, I guess).
And yeah, your last paragraph is spot on. Someone will fire back, and that's the only breach we'll hear about in Western media, never mind the facts.