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It would never happen, no one in CA wants to leave the US and figure out how to maintain a national robust military. Also it's really unlikely any US armed forces would break off from the US in significant numbers, so if you want to enforce your new country, you need to navigate a potential war with a military that has bases, weapons development, troops, and equipment in the most strategically advantaged locations. You'd need to silently create a counter army, and have VERY risky attacks at nearly every base all the same time, and capture most of the equipment in the process. If you aren't force marching hundreds of US military people to a secure location, you aren't winning any war, and the only successful way to exit the US is to have a military strong enough to prevent the US from immediately seizing control of the state, or thinking twice about starting a war.
It's infinitly easier to use the existing system to progress the country in the direction you want to go over all.