this post was submitted on 09 Oct 2024
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the gambler's fallacy is the opposite of what applies to #1
#2 is an optimist? A glass half full type of guy maybe.
#3 i'd guess is inferring that the statistics are based on an even distribution where the failures are disproportionately made up of by the same select few surgeons. or maybe that's #2 and the scientist actually know the theory of how the procedure works in addition to what #2 knows about statistics and distributions.