this post was submitted on 05 Oct 2024
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AI images and music aren't going anywhere. Dipshits insisting it's the future! so they can get rich will move on to the next grift... but unlike NFTs, there's a thing, here. Any idiot can type in a concept and have their computer visually represent it. It's in fucking Photoshop already. This is going to be a technology that continues to exist, and gradually improves, at least to the point of being really goddamn difficult to spot.
And at some point even the loudest haters will look back and go, wow, how'd we ever do stuff without this? Not the LLM shit - that's gonna stay dodgy. Decent enough if you want a Shel Silverstein poem about current events, but it's never gonna discern truth from fiction.
What's gonna quietly change media forever is every idiot with a nice GPU becoming competitive with medium-level Blender wizards. Your student film needs this sliding patio door to become an airlock? Done. You want your hand-drawn storyboards to become a traditional cartoon? Harder, but shockingly doable. Your actual medium-level Blender work lacks a certain verisimilitude? The idiot robot has you covered, somehow.
I agree with most of what you said, except this:
The haters are not going to do that, because the AI's capability is generally not the thing that people are hating on.
Here are some of the things people dislike about AI generated content:
You get the idea. My point is that "it's not useful" isn't really one of the main complaints. Rather, people hope that it isn't useful, because they don't want it to become too entrenched.
It can't create a radically new art style or new information. It would be great if we could harness it as a search engine instead of an oracle.
Lookin' at public posts is not theft. Any model that can recreate a particular input is broken. They only work properly when they generalize.
Everything becomes an excuse for abusive spying. Ban the abuse, for any reason.
Efficiency will improve once budgets shrink. Scaling up up up had immediate results and limited competition. It's not a necessary trend. More training on small models works better, and all of this started on desktop hardware.
Cartoonists also complained about CGI and Flash. Anyway - generating from scratch is an overblown demo. This tech modifies images. It works better when you actually film stuff or draw stuff, and then modify that. (And wait until some program only does tweening, then see if artists still yearn for the good old days.)
This is not going to un-happen. It's already here. If we destroyed it all, individual ultranerds would recreate it from descriptions. The second time around, they might not tell you they're doing it... or share.
That's it. I don't put copyright notices at the bottom of my comments, I write them to be read, I'm finished with them shortly after I hit the post button
If any person learns to write in Australian English from my stuff, great. If a machine does, also great