this post was submitted on 21 Aug 2024
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Linux desktop market share climbs to 4.45% (ostechnix.com)
submitted 3 months ago by sysop@lemmy.world to c/linux@lemmy.world
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[–] mindlight@lemm.ee 30 points 3 months ago* (last edited 3 months ago) (3 children)

I checked the stats for the last 4 years here and it looks really strange. Statistics isn't my thing... But it looks like it's wise to be cautious and not to fully trust the numbers.

Around the beginning of last year there was a huge dip in the Windows market share that seemed to be correlating with a peek in "unknown". Windows then catched up in a somewhat erratic matter.

Mac OS also shows a weird behavior. Starts at 16%, up to 21% and the down to 14% between October and November...

It's not likely that a huge number of people decided to buy a Mac and then trash it I've month later. Samr but opposite goes for the windows stats.

I think it looks like there is an uncertainty of more than the total market share Linux is shown to have..

Not saying that Linux isn't increasing on desktop market share. Just saying that numbers seen to have quite a bit error margin and to be cautious if referring to these numbers.

[–] KazuyaDarklight@lemmy.world 25 points 3 months ago (1 children)

ie - Linux has a 4.45% market share! (Margin of error +/- 6%)

[–] clubb@lemmy.world 3 points 3 months ago* (last edited 3 months ago) (1 children)

-2% market share?!?

[–] olafurp@lemmy.world 3 points 3 months ago (1 children)

Maybe it's +/- 6% of 4.45%. Which would mean +/-0.3%

[–] muelltonne 4 points 3 months ago (1 children)

If it is counting website visits, I'm wondering how they are filtering out bots using selenium on a linux system to crawl their sites. That should be a huge amount of traffic

[–] drphungky@lemmy.world 3 points 3 months ago

Anyone using bots that are openly bots would be limiting their shit to robots.txt. Anyone who is out trawling the whole website is probably obfuscating what they're doing by spoofing new user agents.

[–] olafurp@lemmy.world 3 points 3 months ago (1 children)

I think a trendline would be nice here. I think the result will be roughly Mac -0.25%/y, Windows -1%/y and Linux +0.5% per year and unknown +1%/y.

I think however that just like 2024 that 2025 will be the year of the Linux desktop and adoption will start a steep climb up an S curve.