Perhaps an interesting analogy, but offers nothing in terms of how to improve estimation. The only thing I can take away from this is to always add contingency to an estimate.
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Instead of four hours, this could have taken half an hour by properly exploring the problem and mapping out a solution first. Everyone seems to shit on drawing up an architecture first and wants to immediately start coding, but taking a little time up front to think through the problem pays huge dividends in the long run.
You can just throw away your code and you don't need to go back to the store to continue. Starting to code right away would work just fine if you're not doing real world tasks
With the software part ai agree with him but his washing machine problem is easy to fix by going through the steps and looking at things, measuring them, etc making a plan before going to the shop for the first time. That doesn't remove all unkown unknowns but most of them.