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A COBOL programmer explains that this migration is impossible without catastrophe unless they want to destroy social security.
(lemmy.world)
this post was submitted on 29 Mar 2025
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But that's why he has kids running the place. They think they can do it in a few months. Never going to happen. But they have confidence and that's what matters, not skill or common sense.
Even as a software dev with decades of experience I still chronically underestimate projects by like half, and even I agree the idea of replacing the social security data processing system in under a year is ridiculous.
I solved that estimation problem years ago.
Now I double all my estimates and then add 20pct for slack
LOL I've heard a rule of thumb to double it, also to quadruple it, and one guy said multiply it by five.
I usually take a realistic estimate and multiply it by π.