Economic activity in Russia was influenced by a large increase in military related activity in 2023, while growth was also boosted by a rebound in trade (+6.8%), the financial sector (+8.7%), and construction (+6.6%). These factors led to increases in both real (3.6%) and nominal (10.9%) GDP, and Russia’s Atlas GNI per capita grew by 11.2%.

https://blogs.worldbank.org/en/opendata/world-bank-country-classifications-by-income-level-for-2024-2025-ja

I’ve found it’s pretty good matching up with predictions.

If you bother going back through the videos in the channel, then it's pretty obviously not matching up with how things developed.