Canada

First is that gas heating can actually be more efficient than resistive electric heating depending on the power source.

Manitoba's electricity is almost exclusively Hydro.

So of your using gas to generate electricity to heat homes your actually better off just burning the gas for heat.

If you don't account for the environmental impact of the roughly 2% which is lost in transit.

Heat pumps can adjust this equation during moderate temps, being more than 100% efficient at moving heat, but during cold snaps we will still ned auxiliary heat.

That only applies to air-source heat pumps, and even then, they're constantly improving.

We would need to roughly triple the electric grid capacity to be able to take up the current winter heating demand.

Source? Also, as the population and the economy grows, energy sources are going to need to grow either way, so it might as well be electricity.