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It's easy to forget that Iran is in close communication with organizations it funds, including Hamas and Hezbollah. How much do they signal to these organizations their readiness for war with Israel? I'd like to know if Hamas leaders had any indication a year ago that it would be a good time to carry out the deadliest ground invasion of Israel in its history.
Iran has been chasing nuclear capability for decades and now they suddenly achieve it?
they might have gotten some help from putin in exchange for munitions and other goodies. dprk, too, for that matter.
They have both a ballistic missile and nuclear energy program, and have been developing them for decades. It's a short hop to combine them.
Not to mention that, being a decently sizable country, making them is really more a matter of motivation to put in the resources and deal with the diplomatic effects than it is capacity ultimately. Like, North Korea was able to build them with a fraction of the population and economy and as even more of a pariah state, the technology has existed for just about 80 years at this point and while details of the specifics are secret, the basic gist of what they require is well known. Basically any country that isnt a microstate probably could build a few eventually, if they really wanted to spend all the money
you're overthinking it. yesterday an alleged draft text of ceasefire deal between israel and lebanon was doing rounds on twitter and telegram