this post was submitted on 28 Oct 2024
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Futurology
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I don't think it's going anywhere. They may hit a wall with GenAI and it'll calm down for a while but the possible upsides of AGI are way too vast for people to suddenly just stop caring about.
Also, I'd say that 90% of 'AI bullshit' is people hate-posting about it on social media. Like the thread we're in right now.
my prediction is that the existing AI products won't stop but the trend of adding AI into everything will stop. There's a cool Wikipedia page about the repeated ups and downs of AI hype cycles. https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/AI_winter
Yes, progress with these things is always logarithmic. It plateaus because of inherent limitations of the tech. Then the wait behind for someone to invent a new tech.
Yep. Theory suggests AGI should be possible, and there's good reason to think it would change everything. It just harder to tell when it will arrive, and how.
The thing currently called "AI" is much more limited in scope, and kinda is overhyped. It's smart but impossible to align with any specific external goal.