this post was submitted on 05 Sep 2024
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Donald Trump has quietly wound down his presidential campaign in states he was targeting just six weeks ago amid polling evidence showing that Kamala Harris’s entry into the presidential race has put them out of reach and narrowed his path to the White House.

The Republican presidential nominee’s campaign has diverted resources away from Minnesota, Virginia and New Hampshire – states Trump was boasting he could win while Joe Biden was the Democratic candidate – to focus instead on a small number of battleground states.

Money is being poured into the three “blue wall” states of Pennsylvania, Michigan and Wisconsin, which were all carried by Biden in 2020 and are seen as vital to the outcome of November’s election.

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[–] tiefling@lemmy.blahaj.zone 44 points 2 months ago* (last edited 2 months ago) (15 children)

I love that the election is decided by 3 states containing less than 10% of the population

Pennsylvania: 13M
Wisconsin: 6M
Michigan: 10M
Total US: 333M
29/333 = 8.7%

[–] AmidFuror@fedia.io 27 points 2 months ago (5 children)

That's like saying the first 94 meters of a 100 meter race don't matter because the last 6 meters decide the winner. If you don't finish the last 6 meters ahead, you've lost.

[–] jumjummy@lemmy.world 1 points 2 months ago* (last edited 2 months ago) (2 children)

That analogy doesn’t work because in these models it’s a straight tie for those 94 meters and it’s the last 6 meters that are left. If the polling data is accurate (big if of course), then the other 47 states cancel each other out in EC votes, so it’s down to these 3.

[–] Cryophilia@lemmy.world 1 points 2 months ago

I think you might not understand how analogies work.

[–] MNByChoice@midwest.social 1 points 2 months ago

Foot races, at the professional level, decided by fractions of a second...

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