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this post was submitted on 02 Sep 2024
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The SECOND Russia uses nukes, it's OVER. Russia's entire existence ceases to exist, as EVERY country will nuke Russia. It won't be WWIII.
WWIII would imply two set of countries of roughly equal might, and each side has several countries fighting together.
This would be more like EVERYBODY vs Russia. And they wouldn't last more than a few days.
I think even China and India would sever any remaining ties to russia if russia uses a nuke.
They would, as Russia is only a useful idiot and a link to natural resources for both of those countries.
China would just wait until it's over and then pick through the remains of Russia. Probably try to claim a big chunk of southern Russia using some excuse or another.
Well it's not ~~southern Russia's~~ northern China's fault that some mad man in Moscow used a nuke. China will just be generous and help lead the clean up in wonderful north north China.
Ehh. They'd make a beeline for every natural resource bearing region inside Russia's borders. The whole south-western Russian region will turn into a clusterfuck free for all that I doubt they'd want to get involved with, but any mining and oil/gas centers east of the Urals will be priority one.
Empty land is not terribly useful for China right now, although large portions of siberia will likely become arable in the next 50 years. but the dragon is always hungry.
China would be dealing with nuclear radiation fallout across much of its country.
Unless they are dropping ground detonations there wouldn't me much. Most nuclear detonation would be airbursts because it's more destructive than a ground blast. Ground blasts cause major fallout.