this post was submitted on 12 Aug 2024
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Nothing good will come of this.
At best this is a risky incursion which the Russian people will forget about in the coming weeks, that's if the Russian propaganda machine hasn't already spun it in their favour.
We seem to forget that making Putin look bad is a fool's errand when we're talking about a country where the state controls the media and where dissenters are either locked away in a remote gulag, or punted off a third-storey window in a way to vaguely look like suicide.
And at worst... this could lead to an escalation...
The closest we've had to a decisive blow against Russia was Prigozhin's revolt.
You're assuming that the goal is to shock Russians. Other possible goals are:
Which of these goals are the reasons for this incursion are unknown outside of Ukraine's command structure.