Well… it requires not being in a border dispute for x amount of time to join. That’s going to be an issue for Ukraine for a good while to come.
this post was submitted on 25 Oct 2024
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assuming there's going to be an Ukraine going forward
They're going to dangle that bid until they've exploited every possible resource out of Ukraine, and then they will dump them to fend for themselves buried in mounds of debt
It is more likely that the Western half of Ukraine will collapse and be occupied by Poland than it ever joining NATO.
That is a likely scenario. It would be costly for Russia to occupy western Ukraine since that's where most of anti Russian sentiment is. Letting Poland make it their problem would be a sensible move on Russia's part.