this post was submitted on 06 Dec 2024
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I think that's pretty much settled by now. Yes, it will transform the world. And no, the current LLMs won't ever achieve superintelligence. They have some severe limitations by design. And even worse, we're already putting in more and more data and compute into training, for less and less gain. It seems we could approach a limit soon. I'd say it's ruled out that the current approach will extend to human-level or even superintelligence territory.
Is super-intellignence smarter than all humans? I think where we stand now, LLMs are already smarter than the average human while lagging behind experts w/ specialized knowledge, no?
Source: https://trackingai.org/IQ
Isn't super intelligent more the ability to think so far beyond human limitations that it might as well be magic. The classic example being inventing faster than light drive.
Simply being very intelligent makes it more of an expert system than a super intelligence.