this post was submitted on 19 Aug 2024
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Part 5 is where I don't see this actually going.
Look at twitter. Now look at mastodon. Tell me which one is more shitty. Now tell me which one has something like 85% of the market, and which one most people haven't heard of.
Just because something it better, doesn't mean people use it. You can fit all of Lemmy in the world in one of the larger NBA size arenas. You can't even fit twitters total user base into some smaller CITIES.
Twitter will be dead within 1-2 years, Elon will make sure of that
God I hope you're right, but doubt you are.
At least in the UK there is now lots of mainstream discussion of "Is it time for people to leave twitter as it's too much of a cesspool". Granted they usually then mention threads or bluesky as an alternative not mastodon, but it is definitely possible for social media companies to die out. Once people start to leave in large numbers it can become a mass exodus (see digg and myspace).
I think the issue now is that the market got fragmented and now you can’t find as much content as before without using multiple services, which is an annoyance.