this post was submitted on 10 Aug 2024
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Politics

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[–] becausechemistry@lemm.ee 7 points 1 month ago (4 children)

Why on earth are we still listening to Nate Silver?

[–] theangriestbird@beehaw.org 1 points 1 month ago (3 children)

It's just one take. Is there a reason to not give his takes the time of day?

[–] becausechemistry@lemm.ee 6 points 1 month ago (1 children)
  1. 2016
  2. He currently works for a crypto betting market
  3. 2016
[–] theangriestbird@beehaw.org 6 points 1 month ago (1 children)

what about 2016? As of Election Day 2016, the fivethirtyeight model gave Clinton a 71% chance of winning. This was lower than basically every competing model, and importantly, 71% is not 100%. Trump got lucky in 2016, and the model's percentage reflected that.

[–] becausechemistry@lemm.ee 3 points 1 month ago

got lucky

That is not how I’d characterize 2016 at all. Also, I would like to refer you to argument number two.

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